Projection and prediction

Latest Research and Reviews

News and Comment

  • Comments & Opinion |

    Since the Paris Agreement, the impacts of 1.5 and 2 °C global warming have been emphasized, but the rate of warming also has regional effects. A new framework of model experiments is needed to increase our understanding of climate stabilization and its impacts.

    • Andrew D. King
    • , J. M. Kale Sniderman
    •  & Tilo Ziehn
  • News & Views |

    Climate models disagree on how the year-to-year variability of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation will change in a warmer world. Using a high-resolution climate model with an improved tropical Pacific mean state, research now suggests that El Niño activity tends to get weaker under GHG-induced warming.

    • Shineng Hu
    Nature Climate Change 11, 724-725
  • News & Views |

    Climate services have long sought to bridge the gap between climate science and improved societal decision-making. Now, a study finds that fulfilling that promise will require rethinking the norms, institutions and governance of science itself.

    • Meaghan Daly
    Nature Climate Change 11, 721-722
  • News & Views |

    Access to modern energy sources is essential for sustainable development and human well-being. However, a recent study uses a bottom-up model to show how lack of access persists until 2050 under different socioeconomic pathways and decarbonization scenarios.

    • Jon Sampedro
    Nature Energy 6, 773-774