Projection and prediction

Latest Research and Reviews

News and Comment

  • News & Views |

    The climate system may respond in different ways to reductions in atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Work now shows a delayed recovery (hysteresis) of the tropical rainbelt, with widespread implications for water resources.

    • Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro
  • Comments & Opinion |

    Since the Paris Agreement, the impacts of 1.5 and 2 °C global warming have been emphasized, but the rate of warming also has regional effects. A new framework of model experiments is needed to increase our understanding of climate stabilization and its impacts.

    • Andrew D. King
    • , J. M. Kale Sniderman
    •  & Tilo Ziehn
    Nature Climate Change 11, 1010-1013
  • News & Views |

    Climate models disagree on how the year-to-year variability of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation will change in a warmer world. Using a high-resolution climate model with an improved tropical Pacific mean state, research now suggests that El Niño activity tends to get weaker under GHG-induced warming.

    • Shineng Hu
    Nature Climate Change 11, 724-725
  • News & Views |

    Climate services have long sought to bridge the gap between climate science and improved societal decision-making. Now, a study finds that fulfilling that promise will require rethinking the norms, institutions and governance of science itself.

    • Meaghan Daly
    Nature Climate Change 11, 721-722