Since prehistoric times, southern Central Asia has been at the crossroads of the movement of people, culture, and goods. Today, the Central Asian populations are divided into two cultural and linguistic groups: the Indo-Iranian and the Turko-Mongolian groups. Previous genetic studies unveiled that migrations from East Asia contributed to the spread of Turko-Mongolian populations in Central Asia and the partial replacement of the Indo-Iranian populations. However, little is known about the origin of the latters. To shed light on this, we compare the genetic data on two current-day Indo-Iranian populations — Yaghnobis and Tajiks — with genome-wide data from published ancient individuals. The present Indo-Iranian populations from Central Asia display a strong genetic continuity with Iron Age samples from Turkmenistan and Tajikistan. We model Yaghnobis as a mixture of 93% Iron Age individual from Turkmenistan and 7% from Baikal. For the Tajiks, we observe a higher Baikal ancestry and an additional admixture event with a South Asian population. Our results, therefore, suggest that in addition to a complex history, Central Asia shows a remarkable genetic continuity since the Iron Age, with only limited gene flow.
Central Asia is a large region stretching from the Caspian Sea in the west to Lake Baikal in the east, encompassing Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and north Afghanistan. This region has found itself at the crossroads of migration routes since modern humans left Africa1,2, leading to a long-term presence of humans, a rich history, and a high cultural diversity. For illustration, agropastoral communities present since the Djeitun culture3 6000 years BCE were replaced during the Chalcolithic (4800–3000 BCE) by the emergence of denser villages and the premises of irrigated agriculture. During the Middle Bronze Age, the Bactrio Margian Archaeological Complex (BMAC) civilization flourished in southern Central Asia with characteristic proto-urban cities, powerful irrigation techniques, and a marked social hierarchy4. A pastoral nomadic lifestyle emerged later in northern Central Asia around 3000 BCE and gained importance in this region during the late Bronze Age (2400–2000 BCE). At the end of the Bronze Age, from about 1800 BCE, the Oxus civilization underwent during its final phase important transformations: while remaining in the same tradition, the material culture was impoverished with some ceramic forms and artifacts disappearing; some habitat sites were abandoned, monumental architecture disappeared, the level of technological development seemed to decrease5; international trade, which had been flourishing during the previous peak phase, slowed down considerably, or even came to a halt, except for contacts with the steppes of northern Central Asia6; funerary practices changed with the appearance of new modes of burial, before the total disappearance of burials during the Early Iron Age, that can be linked to an ideological evolution7. The period between 1800 and 1500 BCE saw Andronovo-like culture take over, until the rise of Yaz culture8,9. Then, Central Asia was the scene of the eastwards conquests of Achaemenids, Greeks, Partho-Sassanians and Arabic people and of the westward movement of various Asian peoples like the Huns, the Xiongnus, and the Mongols10, before being a trade centre along the Silk Road, particularly during the Sassanid Empire and after the Islamic invasion.
Today, the complex demographic history of Central Asia results in a composite genetic diversity, with modern Central Asian populations being divided into two culturally distinct groups: a first group composed of Turkic and Mongolic-speaking populations (referred to later as Turko-Mongol populations including Kyrgyz, Kazakhs…), who are semi-nomadic herders10 and show genetic affinities with Eastern Asian and Siberian populations; and a second group formed by Tajiks and Yaghnobis who live in southern Central Asia, speak Indo-Iranian languages, practice agriculture, are sedentary and who are genetically more similar to present-day western Eurasian populations2,11 and Iranians12. Moreover, Yaghnobis are known to have been isolated for a long time with no evidence of recent admixture12. Modern DNA studies suggested that the Indo-Iranian group was present in Central Asia before the Turko-Mongol group11, maybe as early as Neolithic times; the Turko-Mongol group emerged later from the admixture between a group related to local Indo-Iranian and a South-Siberian or Mongolian group11,13,14 with a high East-Asian ancestry (around 60%). Turkmens, however, genetically stand out from the Turko-Mongol group, being intermediate with the Indo-Iranian group15, which suggests a recent language and culture shift16, possibly through a mostly elite dominance-driven linguistic replacement.
Paleogenetic studies confirmed that multiple migration waves and admixture events, in which steppe populations played an important role, have occurred in Eurasia in the last 10,000 years13,17,18,19,20. Although the settlement of Europe was extensively studied21,22,23,24,25,26, there have been only a few studies exploring the population history of Central Asia, and even fewer focusing on southern Central Asia. In northern Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Southern Russia), genetic studies evidenced eastward and westward movement of populations since the late Neolithic period13,17,18,27,28, leading to a gradient of western steppe genetic ancestry. In southern Central Asia where most of the ancient genomes date back to the late Neolithic and the Bronze Age, it was shown that populations from the BMAC were strongly related to southern Iranian ancient populations with some individuals displaying additional steppe-ancestry18.
However, the relation between modern Indo-Iranian speaking populations and ancient populations from southern Central Asia remains unclear: what are the genetic sources of modern Indo-Iranian speakers? Can they be traced back to the Iron or the Bronze Age? Is there one or several different population histories among a given linguistic group of populations? What is the role of the Turkmens in this story?
Paleogenetic studies brought additional tools to seek the origins of these populations. To explore the origins of modern Indo-Iranians in relationship with their Turko-Mongol neighbours, we jointly analyzed genome-wide data in 16 modern populations (one Yaghnobi and four Tajik populations, 11 from distinct Turko-Mongol ethnic groups from Central Asia, i.e. in Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and from West Mongolia and South Siberia) as well as 1501 present-day genomes from Eurasia and Africa29,30 and 3109 ancient published genomes from all Eurasia13,17,18,19,20,22,23,24,27,28,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45 (Table S1), including 126 ancient genomes from southern Central Asia17,18 (Fig. 1a).
Modern Indo-Iranian genetic affinities with ancient samples
To explore the relation between present-day Central Asian individuals and the Eurasian genomic diversity, ancient and modern, we first performed a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) (Fig. 1b, Supplementary fig. S1 and S2) on 1915 modern genomes and projected 3102 ancient genome-wide data onto it. Regarding the present-day Eurasian diversity, the three top Principal Components (PCs) roughly mimic the geographical repartition of modern populations: the PC1 (3% of variance) discriminates between Eastern and Western Eurasian individuals, the PC2 between South Asian and modern European individuals, and the PC3 discriminates against the Baikal populations from the East Asian cluster (see Supplementary fig. S1). Present-day Indo-Iranian individuals from Central Asia cluster together on the first three PCs while Turko-Mongol individuals form a gradient from the Indo-Iranian cluster to ancient Baikal samples on PC3, in agreement with cultural categorization instead of geography. However, a substructure appears within the Indo-Iranian group with the Yaghnobis (TJY) falling closely to the Western cluster, while the Tajiks populations (TJA, TJE, TAB) stretch toward the Baikal cluster, indicating some additional East Asian or Baikal Hunter-Gatherer (BHG) proximity.
For the ancient individuals, Bronze Age, Iron Age, and historical steppe individuals fall on a cline stretching up from European to East Asian groups, with Western_Steppe individuals clustering on the bottom of the European cluster and Central_Steppe individuals spreading from the Western_Steppe cluster to the Okunevo_BA cluster close to Baikal and Siberian modern individuals. The ancient individuals of southern Central Asia (Neolithic, Bronze Age and Iron Age) follow a cline stretching from Neolithic Iranian individuals (Iran_N) to present-day Iranians and Yaghnobis.
Contrastingly, the Iron Age samples (Turkmenistan_IA and Ksirov_Kushan individuals) are located close to modern Indo-Iranian populations, although slightly negative values on the first axis and positive values on the third axis suggest an addition of Baikal ancestry in the present-day Indo-Iranians. Finally, it appears from this PCA (Fig. 1c) that ancient and present-day Indo-Iranian populations from Central Asia form together a cline between Iranian Neolithic farmers and Central_Steppe Bronze Age, with a clear shift in ancestry toward Steppe between Bronze Age and Iron Age as observed before18, and a smaller shift toward eastern Asian ancestry between Iron Age and present-day. This shift is more pronounced for Tajiks than Yaghnobis.
To confirm our initial observations and identify genetic structures, we performed an unsupervised clustering analysis using ADMIXTURE47 on the same dataset used for the PCA (see Supplementary fig. S4, S5 and S6). Consistently with the PCA, we evidenced in all modern Indo-Iranians the presence of a genetic component maximized in Iran Neolithic farmers (Iran_N, dark green; mean value for Yaghnobis: 37%; 25% for Tajiks), of another maximized in Eastern European Hunter-Gatherers (EEHG) and Western Scandinavian Hunter-Gatherers (WSHG) (pale green; mean value for Yaghnobis: 13%; for Tajiks: 10%) and of a third component (dark blue; mean value for Yaghnobis: 36%; for Tajiks: 29%) that is not completely maximized in any population of our dataset, but is found in present-day Europeans and in Anatolian Neolithic farmers (Anatolia_N). In addition, a fourth component maximized in Baikal Hunter-Gatherers (BHG: Shamanka_EN) and largely present in all modern Turko-Mongol populations (red; 50% on average) is also inferred to a lower extent in the modern Indo-Iranian populations, with a significantly smaller proportion in Yaghnobis than in Tajiks (mean value respectively 7% and 14%; t-test p-value = 2.10–16). Finally, the Tajiks present a small proportion (4%) of modern East Asian ancestry (pink component, maximized in the Han population), which is largely present in all Turko-Mongol populations from Central Asia (mean value 10%), and around 8% of the component maximized in present-day South Asian populations (orange), which are both absent in Yaghnobis.
The ADMIXTURE analysis is also congruent with the PCA concerning the ancient groups (see Supplementary fig. S4 and S5). Indeed, Iron Age southern Central Asian individuals present a remarkably similar profile to Yaghnobis’ profile: for instance, the individual labelled as Turkmenistan_IA has a profile with about 25% of WSHG/EEHG component, 30% of Iran_N component and 35% of the Anatolian farmer ancestry component but missing BHG ancestry (Fig. 2). Bronze Age Central Steppe pastoralists show a similar profile except for a significant increase in Iranian ancestry, and Western Steppe pastoralists have the beige component maximized in Western European Hunter-Gatherers (WEHG), which is absent in modern Indo-Iranian populations.
Thus, modern Indo-Iranian speaking populations appear as midway between Central Steppe and southern Central Asia Bronze Age populations, quite similarly to the Turkmenistan Iron Age individuals, with a limited impulse from eastern and southern Asian groups.
Population continuity within the Indo-Iranians
To formally test for genetic continuity with Iron Age southern Central Asia and the limited admixture with Baikal-related populations at the source of the present-day Indo-Iranian speaking populations, we performed D-statistics, f3-statistics and qpAdm modelling on the same dataset used for the PCA et ADMIXTURE analyses as well as on a dataset formed by shotgun sequences from 3 Yaghnobis (TJY), 19 Tajiks (TJE) and 24 Turkmens (TUR)48 as well as the ancient genomes for a final set of ~ 700k SNPs.
We identified and characterized gene flows that occurred since the Iron Age by computing D-statistics of the form D(Mbuti, Ancient population ; Turkmenistan_IA, present day Indo-Iranian) for every ancient population in our dataset (Fig. 3, Table S5). These statistics are expected positive when gene flows occurred from the Ancient population to the present-day Indo-Iranians. For the Yaghnobis, only one individual, an Iron Age individual from Nepal genetically close to East Asian populations (Nepal_Chokhopani_2700BP.SG)45, has a significantly positive D-statistic (Z > 3). Tajik individuals (TJE) display a higher number of ancient populations (N = 41) for which D-statistic is positive; the common characteristic of these ancient populations is to exhibit a large amount of BHG ancestry, consistently with the ADMIXTURE analysis (Fig. 2). We also note that the Tajiks present a positive D-statistic with an historical individual from India (Great Andaman) (Fig. 3) showing a possible connection with South Asia. Thus, modern Indo-Iranian populations descend from groups related to those present in Turkmenistan as early as Iron Age, with a contribution from another East Asian population who brought the BHG ancestry and, except for Yaghnobis, a contribution from a South Asian population.
Then, we formally test if the contributions detected with D-statistics are due to admixture events that occurred since the Iron Age. We first computed f3-statistic49 of the form f3(TJY/TJA/TJE/TAB ; Source1, Source2), that is expected to be negative (Z < -3) if the Indo-Iranian populations can be modeled as admixed between the two sources (Table S7). Only combinations implying a population from East Asia ancestry (like the XiongNu) and westerner populations representing the components seen in the ADMIXTURE analysis (Iranian Neolithic, Anatolian farmer, and Steppe ancestry) were significant (Fig. 2). These statistics attest to the existence of an actual admixture between a population probably presenting a mix of Iran Neolithic, BMAC, Anatolian early neolithic and Bronze Age Steppe ancestry with a population with a strong affinity to the BHG ancestry. The Yaghnobi population has significantly fewer pairs with a negative f3-statistic than the Tajik populations, probably due to their long-term isolation. We also specifically calculated f3-statistic of the form f3(TJY/TJA/TJE/TAB; Ancient population, Turkmenistan_IA) and obtained several negative f3-statistics always with the same ancient populations implied in the positive D-statistic (see Supplementary fig. S3, Table S6) showing that Indo-Iranians can be successfully modelled as the admixture of Iron Age Turkmenistan and BHG-related population.
We then modelled Yaghnobi and Tajik populations using qpAdm23 to estimate mixture proportions. To test which proximal populations fit the best in our model, we used the rotating method23 and we excluded all combinations with a p-value ≤ 0.01. We first tried a two-ways admixture testing several possibilities among rotating sources. For the Yaghnobis, the only model retained was the one with ~ 93–88% from Turkmenistan_IA and ~ 7–12% ancestry from XiongNu (Table 1). With 3-ways modelling, we could not reject different models for TJY: 3 models imply 90% ancestry from Turkmenistan_IA and 7% ancestry from XiongNu, and around 3% of ancestry from Europe_EN, BMAC or Ukraine_Scythian; we also obtained a model with Ukraine_Scythian, BMAC and XiongNu inferring the older admixture at the origin of Turkmenistan_IA (Table 1). When testing for more admixture sources, we obtained only two 4-ways models and one 5-ways model (Supp. Data). One interesting model is a 4-ways model with 17% Ukrainian Scythians, 60% Turkmenistan_IA, 14% BMAC and 8% XiongNu, i.e. this model shows a close affinity of Yaghnobis with Western Steppe-like populations.
To model Tajiks, all 2-ways admixture models were excluded and we obtained one 3-ways admixture model (p-value = 0.49) implying around 17% ancestry from XiongNu, almost 75% ancestry from Turkmenistan_IA, and around 8% ancestry from a South Asian individual (Indian_GreatAndaman_100BP)50 representing a deep ancestry in South Asia (Table 1).
Thus, the qpAdm modelling shows that at least 90% of the ancestry of current Indo-Iranian ancestry is modelized as inherited from Iron Age individuals from southern Central Asia with an affinity with BMAC. Consequently, Indo-Iranians present a strong genetic continuity in the region since the Iron Age with anecdotic admixture with BHG ancestry related individuals, and, for the Tajiks, with South Asian ancestry related populations possibly after Iron Age.
Finally, we used DATES18 to estimate the number of generations since the admixture events. We obtained 35 ± 15 generations for the admixture between Turkmenistan_IA and XiongNu-like populations at the origins of the Yaghnobis, i.e. an admixture event dating back to ~ 1019 ± 447 years ago considering 29 years per generation51. For Tajiks (TJE, TAB, TJA) we obtained dates from ~ 546 ± 138 years ago (18.8 ± 4.7 generations) to ~ 907 ± 617 years ago (31.2 ± 21.3 generations) for the West/East admixture. We also obtained a date of ~ 944 ± 300 years ago for the admixture with the South Asian population.
Iron age Turkmenistan ancestry
Previous studies13,18 have already shown Turkmenistan_IA can be modelled as an admixture between BMAC and some steppe populations, and on the PCA (Fig. 1c), Turkmenistan_IA indeed belongs to the steppe cline. However, the steppes are split between several groups (Western steppe, Central steppe, Eastern steppe) depending on their amount of Eastern Asian ancestry. The ADMIXTURE analysis discriminates the Western and Central steppe ancestries by the presence of a red and mauve component (maximized respectively in East-Siberia and East Asia populations) in the latter, which is absent from Turkmenistan_IA, indicating an affinity with the Western steppe. Nevertheless, we noted that Andronovo or Sintashta individuals also lacked this component while being classified as Central_Steppe. Thus Central_Steppe group is highly heterogenous and gathers populations with some East-Asian ancestry like Karasuk or Central Saka and others more Western steppe-like as Andronovo and Sintashta. Furthermore, we obtained the higher f3-outgroup statistic of the form f3(Mbuti; Ancient pop, Turkmenistan_IA) for ancient populations from BMAC complex or West Eurasia, highlighting the double origin and affinity with the West. This affinity is further confirmed with D-statistics of form D(Mbuti, Turkmenistan_IA; Western_Steppe, Central_Steppe) (Fig. 4B) that are significantly negative (Z < -3) when a Western_Steppe population is opposed to a Central_Steppe population with an East Asian ancestry, like Central Saka or Karasuk (Fig. 4B). With D-statistic of the form D(Mbuti, Turkmenistan_IA; HG1 , HG2) – HG1 and HG2 belonging to WEHG, EEHG, WSHG, and BHG populations – we evidenced that the steppe populations admixed with BMAC lacked East Asian or Baikal component (Fig. 4A). Indeed, we only see significant D-statistics when BHG was confronted with the other HGs (Fig. 4A). Using HG populations avoids inferences from recent admixture; nevertheless, it failed to discriminate between most of the different steppe groups of this period at this level. This suggests that Turkmenistan_IA is devoid of the East Asian ancestry observed in several Central steppe groups as early as Bronze Age.
Finally, we tested different steppe populations which admixed with BMAC to model Turkmenistan_IA with qpAdm. We first constituted a set with Poltavka, Srubnaya (Western_Steppe) and 4 individuals from Russia labelled as Andronovo (Central_Steppe)52, to estimate the affinity with Europe and Western steppe previously highlighted with D-statistics and f3-statistics. We only obtained one model with 2 sources that we could not exclude (Table 1), and it implies an admixture of 43% BMAC and 57% Andronovo (p-value = 0.31) suggesting that Andronovo individuals are the best proxy for the steppe population which admixed with BMAC to form the Iron Age southern Central Asia group. When testing for the best model between Andronovo and Karasuk (Central steppe with East Asian component) to estimate the affinity with Asia, we produced a single fitting/ relevant model implying Andronovo (p-value = 0.51) with roughly the same proportions. Further tests explored the best model between Andronovo and Sintashta, two genetically close populations, and the single significantly outcome was the one with Andronovo and BMAC (p-value = 0.498) in the same proportions. Eventually, we tested the best model between the individuals labelled Andronovo and two populations belonging to the Andronovo-complex: Fedorovo Shoindykol18 and Alakul Lisakovskiy18. Once again, the only valid model was the one with Andronovo and BMAC. Overall, we can say that the Iron Age population from southern Central Asia emerges from the admixture of BMAC with a Bronze Age population close to the Andronovo individuals, which presents a profile with an affinity with Western steppe rather than with a Central steppe with an affinity with East Asia (like Karasuk).
A Turkmens’ history
Despite speaking a Turko-Mongol language and having the same cultural practices as other Turko-Mongol ethnic groups53, Turkmens are genetically closer to Indo-Iranian populations than to Turko-Mongols54,55.
Indeed, Turkmens (TUR) fall into the Tajiks cluster and not in the Turko-Mongol cline in the PCA (Fig. 1) and in the ADMIXTURE analysis (Fig. 2), all Turko-Mongol populations from Central Asia except Turkmens show a significant (t-test, p-value < 2.10–16) high amount of Baikal (red component, mean 50%) and East Asian ancestry (pink component, maximized in the Han population). Turkmens, for their part, display a completely different pattern, with an amount of Baikal component (mean value: 22%) closer to the proportion in Tajiks (mean value: 15%) and almost no East Asian component. They do not show as much South Asia related ancestry as Tajiks, suggesting that the admixture with South Asian populations occurred or continued after Turkmens split from the remainder of the Indo-Iranian group.
We have established genetic affinity profiles with ancient populations for all Central Asia populations including Turkmens of the first dataset, based on f3-outgroup statistics of the form f3(Mbuti; Ancient pop, Present-day pop) (Fig. 5; Table S8). The f3-outgroup values comparing Turkmen to any ancient population are strongly correlated with the one comparing Tajiks to any ancient populations (Fig. 5a). On the other hand, f3-outgroups values comparing Eastern steppes and Baikal groups to a Turko-Mongol population (Kazakhs) are higher than those comparing these ancient populations to Turkmens (Fig. 5b). The Turkmens are more similar to Indo-Iranian populations than to any Turko-Mongol population on the amount of shared Siberian/East Asian ancestry.
Finally, we modeled Turkmens as a mixture of Central Asia basal ancestry (represented by Yaghnobis) and East Asian ancestry (we obtained a negative value for f3(TUR; TJY, DevilsCave_N); f3 = −0.0025, Z = −5.266). qpAdm modelling for Turkmens produces a single nonrejected model (p-value = 0.048007) implying 6% of Golden Horde Asian and 94% of Tajiks (TAB) (with TJY, XiongNu, GoldenHordeAsian, TAB, Turkmenistan_IA as potential rotating left population) (Table 1). For this admixture event, we estimated a date of 687 ± 100 BP (23.7 ± generations) with DATES.
These results enlighten that Turkmens were an Indo-Iranian-like population not so long ago, who recently shifted language and culture without a substantial genetic change in population.
Our research provides insight into the history of Indo-Iranians by using evidence to trace modern populations back to the Iron Age in southern Central Asia. As proposed by former genetic studies2,11 and as supported by historical56 and archaeological evidence57, we found that Indo-Iranian speakers settled in Central Asia long before Turko-Mongol speakers11. The main event at the bottom of Indo-Iranian ancestry in southern Central Asia occurred at the end of the Bronze Age/Early Iron Age, through the admixture between local BMAC groups and Andronovo-related populations perhaps linked to the end of the Oxus Civilization. We note here that the steppe group who admixed with BMAC did not present East Asian ancestry, which is consistent with both the archeological58 and genetic38 findings of the East Asian ancestry arriving in the Central steppe core only at the end of the Iron Age.
The populations falling under the name Andronovo form a complex group. Indeed, when screening the individuals used under the label Andronovo in our dataset, we note that they all belong to one site, Kytmanovo52,59, which is eastward, but show a genetic profile very close to the Sintashta individuals, whose area expanded near the Caspian Sea. Individuals from other cultures belonging to the Andronovo complex have been sequenced17,18 but overall they form a moderately heterogenous genetic group. Moreover, some studies have shown that Steppe groups can be labelled similarly but be different genetically, such as, for instance, Srubnaya Alakulskaya individuals being closer to Andronovo individuals than to Srubnaya from the Samara region28. The nomadic populations from the end of the Bronze and Iron Age being very genetically heterogenous, we suspect that the source of the Western steppe ancestry found in Iron Age southern Central Asia may not be sampled yet. It is interesting to notice that the gene flow between the Steppe and southern Central Asia went two-ways38,60. A recent study60 has highlighted that a gene flow from BMAC contributed to the genetic formation of Scythians. Our findings combined with these studies strongly corroborate the hypothesis based on archaeological evidence that southern Central Asia civilizations since BMAC and Western steppe culture had a strong cultural connection6,8,61,62,63,64.
Overall, we demonstrate here a remarkable example of genetic continuity since the Iron Age in Indo-Iranian populations from Central Asia despite the frenzy of population migrations in the area since the Bronze Age. Similar to Zhabagin et al. work65, the present study shows no impact of the Arab cultural expansion in Central Asia on the Indo-Iranian speaker’s genetic diversity, despite the first one leading to a shift in language for Tajiks. We also do not see a gene flow from Iran despite the Persian cultural expansion which led to a language shift from an east-Iranian language to a west-Iranian in Tajiks—when Yaghnobis kept their east-Iranian language66.
Yaghnobis, for their pair, are characterized by strong genetic stability over time (small amount of negative admixture f3-statistics, fewer significative D-statistics), which can be linked back to their long-term isolation12,67. Yaghnobis are indeed an isolated ethno-linguistic population historically present in the hardly accessible valley of the Yaghnob River. Evidence suggests that the separation between Yaghnobis and Tajiks occurred at least 1000 years ago, which explains the high genetic differentiation observed in Indo-Iranians by previous studies53,67. Interestingly, it implies that Yaghnobis could represent a good proxy for the ancestry present in Central Asia before the migration waves that led to the current genetic diversity, despite the strong drift that occurred.
The amount of East-Asian ancestry due to admixture with modern Turko-Mongol groups remains low even in Tajiks, consistent with the findings of Martinez-Cruz et al.2, who observed the light impact the westward invasions (Huns, Mongols) had on Indo-Iranian groups in Central Asia. On the other hand, we have highlighted for Yaghnobis, Tajiks, and Turkmens a small amount of gene flow from BHG-ancestry dating to around 1000 years ago, suggesting a recent wave of westward migration from the Altai mountains, after the Iron Age. This recent wave can be linked to the origin of the Turko-Mongol in Central Asia which has been demonstrated by Martinez-Cruz et al.2 and Li et al.68 to be from an ancestral group of Turkic speakers from the Altai region. Our quite recent date of admixture differs significantly from the date obtained by Palstra et al.11 which placed the admixture event back to 8 ky BP for Tajiks and 2.3 ky BP for Kyrgyz. The more recent inferred dates of admixture for Tajiks compared to Yaghnobis could be explained by the fact that Tajiks received a more continuous gene flow from the eastward source, continuous gene flow that occurred after the first admixture event that formed the Yaghnobis genetic composition. Indeed, the qpAdm method cannot detect a continuous admixture which can be expected in this context. Furthermore, the search of their ancestry confirms a genetic homogeneity within Yaghnobis, Tajiks, and Turkmens, despite their cultural, notably linguistic differences, with some genetic differences emerging from various patterns of gene flow in Tajiks and Turkmens.
Notably, we evidenced an admixture event from South Asia restricted to the Tajik population, undocumented before despite evidence in Iranian Turkmens69. According to previous archaeological studies70,71, multidirectional cultural exchanges with South Asia are known to have taken place as early as the Chalcolithic period: notably from Sialk culture and other Iranian cultures towards Balochistan70 or from Geoksjur culture of Turkmenistan to southern Afghanistan. In the opposite direction, from south to north, Mundigak III type ceramics find parallels as far as Badakhshan in northeast Afghanistan, material from Balochistan and shells used in necklaces and bracelets from the Arabian Sea are found at the Sarazm site in Tajikistan, showing a long-distance commercial exchange. All these ancient populations were on the move with probably quite frequent exchanges and cultural blends between populations, Iron Age included71. Intriguingly, genetic proximity between southern Central Asian and South Asian groups has already been suggested for BMAC samples18 and raises the question of the timing of this gene flow. Two models can be considered: the first one assumes the formation of a homogeneous basal Indo-Iranian background (as observed today in Yaghnobis) and subsequent recent gene flow from South Asian populations; the second model acknowledges the presence of South Asian ancestry in some Bronze Age BMAC samples18 and suggests Tajiks and Yaghnobis could have derived from distinct BMAC populations, respectively with and without South Asian ancestry, who have both experienced independent admixture with Andronovo-like steppe populations during Iron Age, and eastern nomads with BHG ancestry afterwards. Because the date of the gene-flow from South Asian populations in Tajik genomes is relatively recent, the data favours the first hypothesis; however, uncertainties on the model of admixture (one versus several pulses) may be compatible with continuous gene-flow since the Bronze Age. Additionally, our recent date of admixture fits with the arrival of the South Asian ancestry at the same that the shift from east to west-Iranian language in Tajiks linked to the Persian expansion 1500 years ago66.
Lastly, the case of Turkmens is a notable example of a population changing language and cultural practices without substantial changes in their genetic ancestry. Indeed, Turkic-speaking peoples found in all Eurasia are the result of several nomadic migrations14,72, which cover an area ranging from Siberia to Eastern Europe and the Middle East, through Central Asia and have been occurring during a wide period, the 5th–16th centuries14. In regions other than Central Asia, several studies have shown that Turkic-speaking peoples genetically resemble their geographic neighbours, with no clear genetic signal that would distinguish them14,72. This lends to support the model of a language replacement by elite-dominance rather than by demic diffusion for languages of the Turkish family expansion72. Turkmens fit in this global model but are an exception in their region. Indeed, the other Turkic-speaking populations, like Kyrgyz or Kazakhs, show a different genetic profile with a clear dominant East Asian and Baikal components, attesting to a more significant admixture with nomads from South-Siberia and Mongolia, which have been dated around the tenth-fourteenth centuries14. The small amount of East Asian ancestry in Turkmens has been linked to an admixture dated around the 15th century, so slightly after the first admixture in Central Asia, and may come from gene flow with these Turco-Mongol groups.
The question of the diffusion of Indo-European languages has been a hot topic in the last few years23,52,73,74,75. Linguistic analyses point either to Anatolia74 or the Pontic Steppe75 as the region where the Indo-European languages originated. The expansion of Yamnaya related populations westward during the late Neolithic, and eastward during the Bronze Age, through the migration of Andronovo groups, suggests that they were speakers of such languages. Interestingly, the ancestry pattern found in Indo-Iranian speakers from Central Asia is not found in other Indo-Iranian speaking populations, namely, the Iranians Persians69. This ethnic group displays a genetic continuity since the Bronze Age with ancient individuals from Iran, with limited gene flow from the steppes (either Central or Eastern)69. Furthermore, our study of the Turkmen population presents another example where language and genetics do not match, questioning the idea of inferring language displacement using population movement. Their genetic affiliation to modern western Eurasian populations, seen in earlier studies, is due to a common steppe ancestry.
Our results bring to light that for Indo-Iranian speakers various patterns of genetic and linguistic continuity or discontinuity coexisted through time. In southern Central Asia, we show that the actual Indo-Iranians are the product of a long-term continuity since the Iron Age with only limited recent impulses from other Eurasian groups. Our results provide further evidence that the demography of this region is complex and needs small-scale studies like this one to be fully understood. From this perspective, the precise timing of these impulses cannot be solved until more genetic data from samples from the Iron Age and historical times, who do not belong to the Steppe cultural complex, have been obtained.
Compiling and merging genomic data
We selected 3102 published ancient human genomes from Eurasia (Table S1) from Paleolithic to Middle Age, whom DNA sequencing data generated with whole genome shotgun or hybridization capture technics, from the merge dataset v42.4 available at https://reich.hms.harvard.edu/allen-ancient-dna-resource-aadr-downloadable-genotypes-present-day-and-ancient-dna-data. We retained non-related individuals with more than 10,000 SNPs hit on the 1240k panel. We also added ancient individuals from two recent publications about Middle East37 and Mongolian Steppe38.
The ancient dataset was classified based on geographical, chronological, and ancestry criteria. The individuals from the steppe with known ancestry (usually related to their localization) were labelled as Western_Steppe, Central_Steppe or Eastern_Stepppe respectively referring to a population with a close genetic affinity with Western European Hunter Gatherer (WEHG; Loschbour, LaBrana) or Eastern European HG (EEHG ; Popovo HG, Sidelkino, Karelia HG, Samara HG); to individuals with a higher ancestry from Western Siberian HG (WSHG ; Tyumen Hg and Sosonivoy HG), a strong affinity with Baikal HG (BHG, Shamanka HG) or with eastern non-Africans; to populations exhibiting an East Asian component, although not all of them do like for example Andronovo population.
We analysed ancient genotypes with 1388 Eurasian individuals, 109 Yoruba, and 3 Mbuti individuals from two modern publicly available datasets: the SGDP dataset30, the 1000 Genomes dataset29. Furthermore, we also used a Central Asian specific dataset53 obtained in our lab using capture including 527 individuals. We merged these modern data using mergeit from EIGENSOFT49 and we haploidized them by randomly selecting one allele per position. The final merge includes 237,644 SNPs for 5129 individuals. For the analysis requiring more SNPs, we used individuals sequenced by shotgun48 from only three populations in the Central Asia dataset: 3 Yaghnobis (TJY), 19 Tajiks (TJE) and 24 Turkmens (TUR), and we pseudo-haploidized and combined them with the 1240k panel to obtain a second dataset of 716 743 SNPs and 4648 individuals.
We performed PCA with smartpca49 on 1915 Eurasian present-day individuals and we projected all the 3109 ancient samples on top of the 3 best PCs. We used default parameters with lsqproject: YES, and numoutlieriter: 0 settings.
To verify possible projection limitation of our method, we also perform a PCA with LASER v276. We generated a reference space using 1915 Eurasian present-day individuals (including the Central Asian individuals), after filtering for a minimum allele frequency of 0.05. Then we downloaded the bam files for 635 relevant ancient individuals13,17,18 and projected independently every ancient individual into the reference space with 10 replicates. We obtained similar plots, with nearly perfect correlation between the first 3 PCs for the ancient individuals generated by smartpca and LASER (Supplementary fig. S2) indicating no significant limitation in our first PCA.
We performed ADMIXTURE analysis47 on 1915 Eurasian present-day individuals and 3109 ancient samples from the first dataset on a subset of 236 665 SNPs pruned for linkage disequilibrium (by using PLINK77 –indep-pairwise 200 25 0.4 function). We run ADMIXTURE analyses for clustering with K between 2 and 15, with 20 replicates performed for each K. The best value of K clusters, 10, is the value with lowest cross-validation error (Supplementary fig. S6).
D and F3-statistics
We computed the f3 outgroup statistics using the qp3Pop program with the inbreed option set to YES on our second dataset and D-statistics using the qpDstat program of the ADMIXTOOLS package51. We used Mbuti as the outgroup for both statistics in the main text, but we obtained similar results using Yoruba population as the outgroup (not shown).
We performed rotating qpAdm analysis with ADMIXTOOLS package to model the ancestry of Central Asian modern populations. For Indo-Iranians, we used Mbuti, Han, Natufian, WEHG, Ust-Ishim, MA1, Kostenki14, EEHG as reference populations.
Prior to the analysis, we checked if the reference populations could well discriminate between the source populations by computing f4-stat of the form f4(Mbuti, Source1, RefX, RefY), for all the sources and all the combinations of outgroups possible. Then we plotted the pairwise f4 and calculated a correlation score. We observed that our dataset discriminates well BMAC and Iran_N.
We first tested a rotating group with Turkmenistan_IA, XiongNu, and GoldenHordeAsian to assert the best source of East-Asian ancestry in our model. To test different models, we used Iran_N, Europe_EN, BMAC, Turkmenistan_IA, XiongNu, Ukraine_Scythian and Germany_Corded_Ware as rotating source populations. And to model Tajiks, we add Indian_GreatAndaman_100BP to represent a deep ancestry from South Asia.
To model Turkmenistan_IA, we used the same reference group with Iran_N and BHG added and we used Germany_CordedWare, Russia_Poltavka, XiongNu, EuropeEN, BMAC, Andronovo, Ukraine_Scythian as the rotating group. We also performed tests with smaller rotating groups: (1) Andronovo, Alakul_Lisakovskiy, BMAC (2) Andronovo, Fedorovo_Shoindykol, BMAC (3) Andronovo, Sintashta, BMAC (4) Andronovo, Karasuk, BMAC, (4) Andronovo, Afanasievo, BMAC.
To model Turkmens, we used the same reference group as for Turkmenistan_IA, and used TJY, Mongolia_XiongNu, Kazakhstan_GoldenHordeAsian, TAB, Turkmenistan_IA as the rotating group.
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P.G.V. is supported by a PhD grant from E.N.S de Lyon. We would like to thank Ludovic Orlando, Laure Ségurel and Paul Verdu for their fruitful comments about this work. We would like to thank Romain Laurent for his assistance and Amanda Graham and Marcus Kearsey for proofreading the English. J.B.S addresses his acknowledgments to the Mission archéologique franco-turkmène (MAFTur), the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MEAE), the French Archaeological Delegation in Afghanistan (DAFA), the Shelby White and Leon Levy Program for Archaeological Publication.
The authors declare no competing interests.
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Guarino-Vignon, P., Marchi, N., Bendezu-Sarmiento, J. et al. Genetic continuity of Indo-Iranian speakers since the Iron Age in southern Central Asia. Sci Rep 12, 733 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-04144-4